国际米兰对阵科莫 - mathematics /taxonomy/subjects/mathematics en 国际米兰对阵科莫 Festival Speaker Spotlight: Professor Sarah Hart /stories/cambridge-festival-spotlights/sarah-hart <div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>Professor Sarah Hart is a British mathematician specialising in group theory and author. She is Professor Emerita of Mathematics and Fellow of Birkbeck College (University of London) and has recently been announced as the Mathematical Association President during 2026-27.</p> </p></div></div></div> Mon, 03 Mar 2025 08:28:16 +0000 zs332 248742 at Award-winning broadcaster Hannah Fry joins 国际米兰对阵科莫 as Professor of the Public Understanding of Mathematics /research/news/hannah-fry-joins-cambridge-as-professor-of-the-public-understanding-of-mathematics <div class="field field-name-field-news-image field-type-image field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><img class="cam-scale-with-grid" src="/sites/default/files/styles/content-580x288/public/news/research/news/hannah-fry-drupal-1.jpg?itok=CfLKN2gT" alt="Hannah Fry." title="Hannah Fry, Credit: Lloyd Mann" /></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Fry brings outstanding experience to the role of communicating to diverse audiences, including with people not previously interested in maths. She will follow in the footsteps of giants of public engagement with mathematics, including David Spiegelhalter and the late Stephen Hawking as she joins the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics (DAMTP).</p> <p>鈥淚鈥檓 really looking forward to joining the 国际米兰对阵科莫 community,鈥 said Fry, 鈥渢o those chance encounters and interactions that end up sparking new ideas and collaborations: it鈥檚 so exciting to be in an environment where every single person you speak to is working on something absolutely fascinating.鈥</p> <p>Fry won the Christopher Zeeman Medal for promoting mathematics in 2018 and the Royal Society David Attenborough Award in 2024, and is the current President of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications.</p> <p>She is currently Professor of the Mathematics of Cities at UCL, where she works with physicists, mathematicians, computer scientists, architects and geographers to study patterns in human behaviour 鈥 particularly in an urban setting. Her research applies to a wide range of social problems and questions, from shopping and transport to urban crime, riots and terrorism, and she has applied this research by advising and working alongside governments, police forces, supermarkets and health analysts.</p> <p>鈥淲hen you create a mathematical model, it doesn鈥檛 really matter how beautifully crafted your equations are, or how accurate your simulations are,鈥 said Fry. 鈥淵ou have to think about how the work you鈥檝e created is going to be seen and perceived by other people and how it鈥檚 going to be understood or misunderstood.鈥</p> <p>The new professorship builds on 国际米兰对阵科莫鈥檚 long track record in sharing maths. DAMTP is also the home of the largest subject-specific outreach and engagement project in the University 鈥 the Millennium Mathematics Project (MMP).</p> <p>Fry says she plans for her work at 国际米兰对阵科莫 to follow on from Spiegelhalter's extensive public communication work, which she sees as a vital part of the research process.</p> <p>鈥淐ommunication is not an optional extra: if you are creating something that is used by, or interacts with members of the public or the world in general, then I think it鈥檚 genuinely your moral duty to engage the people affected by it,鈥 she said. 鈥淚鈥檇 love to build and grow a community around excellence in mathematical communication at 国际米兰对阵科莫 鈥 so that we鈥檙e really researching the best possible methods to communicate with people.鈥</p> <p>鈥淗annah is an outstanding mathematician and researcher, and one of the UK鈥檚 best maths communicators,鈥 said Professor Colm-cille Caulfield, Head of DAMTP. 鈥淢athematics affects so many aspects of our everyday lives in interesting and exciting ways, and Hannah will strengthen the excellent work already being done at 国际米兰对阵科莫 in this area. We in DAMTP and our Faculty of Mathematics colleagues in the Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics聽are so excited to have her join us.鈥</p> <p>Professor Fry announced her appointment at an event yesterday (21 November) organised by the MMP in collaboration with the Newton Gateway to Mathematics at the Isaac Newton Institute in 国际米兰对阵科莫. The event 鈥 <a href="https://gateway.newton.ac.uk/event/tgm143">Communicating mathematical and data sciences 鈥 what does success look like?</a> 鈥 explored evidence for effectively communicating mathematical and data science research to policymakers, mainstream media and the wider public.</p> <p>鈥淧rofessor Fry is one of the most exciting voices in science and mathematics today,鈥 said Professor Nigel Peake, Head of the School of the Physical Sciences. 鈥淗er deep commitment to sharing the excitement of maths with people of all ages and backgrounds, at a time when mathematical literacy has never been so important, will be an enormous benefit to 国际米兰对阵科莫, and the UK as a whole.鈥</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>Professor Hannah Fry, mathematician, best-selling author, award-winning science presenter and host of popular podcasts and television shows, will join the 国际米兰对阵科莫 as the first Professor of the Public Understanding of Mathematics on 1 January.</p> </p></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-credit field-type-link-field field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><a href="/" target="_blank">Lloyd Mann</a></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-desctiprion field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Hannah Fry</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-cc-attribute-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/" rel="license"><img alt="Creative Commons License." src="/sites/www.cam.ac.uk/files/inner-images/cc-by-nc-sa-4-license.png" style="border-width: 0px; width: 88px; height: 31px;" /></a><br /> The text in this work is licensed under a <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License</a>. Images, including our videos, are Copyright 漏国际米兰对阵科莫 and licensors/contributors as identified. All rights reserved. We make our image and video content available in a number of ways 鈥 on our <a href="/">main website</a> under its <a href="/about-this-site/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>, and on a <a href="/about-this-site/connect-with-us">range of channels including social media</a> that permit your use and sharing of our content under their respective Terms.</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-show-cc-text field-type-list-boolean field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Yes</div></div></div> Fri, 22 Nov 2024 00:04:32 +0000 sc604 248570 at New open-source platform allows users to evaluate performance of AI-powered chatbots /research/news/new-open-source-platform-allows-users-to-evaluate-performance-of-ai-powered-chatbots <div class="field field-name-field-news-image field-type-image field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><img class="cam-scale-with-grid" src="/sites/default/files/styles/content-580x288/public/news/research/news/gettyimages-1485822619-dp_0.jpg?itok=YW1eav0N" alt="Chatbot" title="Chatbot, Credit: da-kuk via Getty Images" /></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>A team of computer scientists, engineers, mathematicians and cognitive scientists, led by the 国际米兰对阵科莫, developed an open-source evaluation platform called CheckMate, which allows human users to interact with and evaluate the performance of large language models (LLMs).</p> <p>The researchers tested CheckMate in an experiment where human participants used three LLMs 鈥 InstructGPT, ChatGPT and GPT-4 鈥 as assistants for solving undergraduate-level mathematics problems.</p> <p>The team studied how well LLMs can assist participants in solving problems. Despite a generally positive correlation between a chatbot鈥檚 correctness and perceived helpfulness, the researchers also found instances where the LLMs were incorrect, but still useful for the participants. However, certain incorrect LLM outputs were thought to be correct by participants. This was most notable in LLMs optimised for chat.</p> <p>The researchers suggest models that communicate uncertainty, respond well to user corrections, and can provide a concise rationale for their recommendations, make better assistants. Human users of LLMs should verify their outputs carefully, given their current shortcomings.</p> <p>The <a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2318124121">results</a>, reported in the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)</em>, could be useful in both informing AI literacy training, and help developers improve LLMs for a wider range of uses.</p> <p>While LLMs are becoming increasingly powerful, they can also make mistakes and provide incorrect information, which could have negative consequences as these systems become more integrated into our everyday lives.</p> <p>鈥淟LMs have become wildly popular, and evaluating their performance in a quantitative way is important, but we also need to evaluate how well these systems work with and can support people,鈥 said co-first author Albert Jiang, from 国际米兰对阵科莫鈥檚 Department of Computer Science and Technology. 鈥淲e don鈥檛 yet have comprehensive ways of evaluating an LLM鈥檚 performance when interacting with humans.鈥</p> <p>The standard way to evaluate LLMs relies on static pairs of inputs and outputs, which disregards the interactive nature of chatbots, and how that changes their usefulness in different scenarios. The researchers developed CheckMate to help answer these questions, designed for but not limited to applications in mathematics.</p> <p>鈥淲hen talking to mathematicians about LLMs, many of them fall into one of two main camps: either they think that LLMs can produce complex mathematical proofs on their own, or that LLMs are incapable of simple arithmetic,鈥 said co-first author Katie Collins from the Department of Engineering. 鈥淥f course, the truth is probably somewhere in between, but we wanted to find a way of evaluating which tasks LLMs are suitable for and which they aren鈥檛.鈥</p> <p>The researchers recruited 25 mathematicians, from undergraduate students to senior professors, to interact with three different LLMs (InstructGPT, ChatGPT, and GPT-4) and evaluate their performance using CheckMate. Participants worked through undergraduate-level mathematical theorems with the assistance of an LLM and were asked to rate each individual LLM response for correctness and helpfulness. Participants did not know which LLM they were interacting with.</p> <p>The researchers recorded the sorts of questions asked by participants, how participants reacted when they were presented with a fully or partially incorrect answer, whether and how they attempted to correct the LLM, or if they asked for clarification. Participants had varying levels of experience with writing effective prompts for LLMs, and this often affected the quality of responses that the LLMs provided.</p> <p>An example of an effective prompt is 鈥渨hat is the definition of X鈥 (X being a concept in the problem) as chatbots can be very good at retrieving concepts they know of and explaining it to the user.</p> <p>鈥淥ne of the things we found is the surprising fallibility of these models,鈥 said Collins. 鈥淪ometimes, these LLMs will be really good at higher-level mathematics, and then they鈥檒l fail at something far simpler. It shows that it鈥檚 vital to think carefully about how to use LLMs effectively and appropriately.鈥</p> <p>However, like the LLMs, the human participants also made mistakes. The researchers asked participants to rate how confident they were in their own ability to solve the problem they were using the LLM for. In cases where the participant was less confident in their own abilities, they were more likely to rate incorrect generations by LLM as correct.</p> <p>鈥淭his kind of gets to a big challenge of evaluating LLMs, because they鈥檙e getting so good at generating nice, seemingly correct natural language, that it鈥檚 easy to be fooled by their responses,鈥 said Jiang. 鈥淚t also shows that while human evaluation is useful and important, it鈥檚 nuanced, and sometimes it鈥檚 wrong. Anyone using an LLM, for any application, should always pay attention to the output and verify it themselves.鈥</p> <p>Based on the results from CheckMate, the researchers say that newer generations of LLMs are increasingly able to collaborate helpfully and correctly with human users on undergraduate-level maths problems, as long as the user can assess the correctness of LLM-generated responses. Even if the answers may be memorised and can be found somewhere on the internet, LLMs have the advantage of being flexible in their inputs and outputs over traditional search engines (though should not replace search engines in their current form).</p> <p>While CheckMate was tested on mathematical problems, the researchers say their platform could be adapted to a wide range of fields. In the future, this type of feedback could be incorporated into the LLMs themselves, although none of the CheckMate feedback from the current study has been fed back into the models.</p> <p>鈥淭hese kinds of tools can help the research community to have a better understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of these models,鈥 said Collins. 鈥淲e wouldn鈥檛 use them as tools to solve complex mathematical problems on their own, but they can be useful assistants if the users know how to take advantage of them.鈥</p> <p>The research was supported in part by the Marshall Commission, the 国际米兰对阵科莫 Trust, Peterhouse, 国际米兰对阵科莫, The Alan Turing Institute, the European Research Council, and the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI).</p> <p>聽</p> <p><em><strong>Reference:</strong><br /> Katherine M聽Collins, Albert Q聽Jiang, et al. 鈥<a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2318124121">Evaluating Language Models for Mathematics through Interactions</a>.鈥 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2024). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2318124121</em></p> <p>聽</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>Researchers have developed a platform for the interactive evaluation of AI-powered chatbots such as ChatGPT.聽</p> </p></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-quote field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Anyone using an LLM, for any application, should always pay attention to the output and verify it themselves</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-quote-name field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Albert Jiang</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-credit field-type-link-field field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><a href="/" target="_blank">da-kuk via Getty Images</a></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-desctiprion field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Chatbot</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-cc-attribute-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/" rel="license"><img alt="Creative Commons License." src="/sites/www.cam.ac.uk/files/inner-images/cc-by-nc-sa-4-license.png" style="border-width: 0px; width: 88px; height: 31px;" /></a><br /> The text in this work is licensed under a <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License</a>. Images, including our videos, are Copyright 漏国际米兰对阵科莫 and licensors/contributors as identified. All rights reserved. We make our image and video content available in a number of ways 鈥 on our <a href="/">main website</a> under its <a href="/about-this-site/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>, and on a <a href="/about-this-site/connect-with-us">range of channels including social media</a> that permit your use and sharing of our content under their respective Terms.</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-show-cc-text field-type-list-boolean field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Yes</div></div></div> Tue, 04 Jun 2024 10:34:36 +0000 sc604 246271 at New 国际米兰对阵科莫-developed resources help students learn how maths can help tackle infectious diseases /research/news/new-cambridge-developed-resources-help-students-learn-how-maths-can-help-tackle-infectious-diseases <div class="field field-name-field-news-image field-type-image field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><img class="cam-scale-with-grid" src="/sites/default/files/styles/content-580x288/public/news/research/news/gettyimages-1180187740-dp.jpg?itok=ZQ6D_iDA" alt="Aerial view of crowd connected by lines" title="Aerial view of crowd connected by lines, Credit: Orbon Alija via Getty Images" /></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>From measles and flu to SARS and COVID, mathematicians help us understand and predict the epidemics that can spread through our communities, and to help us look at strategies that we may be able to use to contain them.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>The project, called <a href="https://maths.org/contagious-maths">Contagious Maths</a>, was led by Professor Julia Gog from 国际米兰对阵科莫鈥檚 <a href="https://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/">Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics (DAMTP)</a>, and was supported by a Rosalind Franklin Award from the Royal Society.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>The curriculum-linked resources will give students between the ages 11 and 14 the opportunity to join researchers on the mathematical frontline to learn more about infectious disease spread, along with interactive tools to try mathematical modelling for themselves. Teachers receive full lesson plans, backed up by 国际米兰对阵科莫 research.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>鈥淚鈥檝e always loved maths. I was lucky enough to have amazing teachers at sixth form who challenged me and were 100% behind me pursuing maths at the highest level, but maths as it鈥檚 taught in school can be highly abstract, so students often wonder what the point of maths even is,鈥 said Gog, who is also Director of the <a href="https://maths.org/">Millennium Maths Project</a>. 鈥淭his is something I鈥檓 trying to help with now: to offer a glimpse from school to the research world to see the role mathematics can play in tackling important real-world problems.鈥</p>&#13; &#13; <p>The Contagious Maths project introduces mathematical modelling; explores how mathematicians can model the spread of disease through a population and the type of questions we might think about when looking at models; and gives an insight into what mathematics researchers working on these real-life problems actually do.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>鈥淚鈥檝e been engaged in outreach for many years at 国际米兰对阵科莫, and the Contagious Maths project grew out of discussions with colleagues who have expertise in reaching school-age children,鈥 said Gog. 鈥淭he 11-14 age group we are targeting is a real crunch point for retaining girls in maths, and future female mathematicians. What exactly happens is complex and multifaceted, but this is a period when people form their views on how they fit with maths and science.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>鈥淢any of them disengage, as it can seem that maths at school is utterly disconnected from the real world. It can also be a time when maths appears very starkly right or wrong, whereas any research mathematician can tell you it鈥檚 always so much more subtle than that, and therefore so much more interesting!鈥</p>&#13; &#13; <p>Gog hopes the Contagious Maths resources might be able to help, as they are designed to be used in regular school lessons, and cover a topic with clear real-world importance.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>鈥淭he maths is never black and white in this field: there are always ways to challenge and develop the models, and some tricky thinking to be done about how the real epidemics and the simulations are really related to each other,鈥 she said. 鈥淚 suspect some students will find this frustrating, and just want maths to be algorithmic exercises. But some will be intrigued, and they are the ones we are trying to reach and expose to this larger world of applied maths research.鈥</p>&#13; &#13; <p>Contagious Maths also provides teachers with all the ideas and tools they need, so they have at their fingertips all they need to deliver these lessons, even if they have no experience with research mathematics. 鈥淲e hope this project will help these teachers to bring in the wider view of mathematics, and we hope it inspires them too,鈥 said Gog. 鈥淚t鈥檚 been really fun developing these resources, teaming up with both <a href="https://nrich.maths.org/13000">NRICH</a> and <a href="https://plus.maths.org/content/">Plus</a> to make the most of our combined expertise.鈥</p>&#13; &#13; <p>Maths teachers can attend a <a href="https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/contagious-maths-teacher-webinar-wednesday-20th-march-2024-tickets-828452292107?aff=oddtdtcreator">free online event</a> on 20 March to learn more about the project.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>In addition to the school resources, Gog and her colleagues have designed <a href="https://plus.maths.org/content/contagious-maths">another version of Contagious Maths</a> for a more general self-guided audience, which will work for students older than 14 or anyone, of any age, who is interested in learning about mathematical modelling.</p>&#13; &#13; <p>鈥淭he paradox between the cleanness and precision of mathematics, and the utter hot mess of anything that involves biological dynamics across populations 鈥 like an outbreak of an infectious disease, is what intrigued me to stay in mathematics beyond my degree, and to move into research in mathematical biology,鈥 said Gog. 鈥淓legant theoretical ideas can tell us something valuable and universal about mitigating the devastating effects of disease on human and animal populations. Super abstract equations can hold fundamental truths about real-world problems - I don't think I will ever tire of thinking about that.鈥</p>&#13; &#13; <p><em>Adapted from a <a href="https://royalsociety.org/blog/2024/02/bringing-infectious-diseases-into-the-maths-classroom/">Royal Society interview</a> with Professor Julia Gog.</em></p>&#13; </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>国际米兰对阵科莫 mathematicians have developed a set of resources for students and teachers that will help them understand how maths can help tackle infectious diseases.</p>&#13; </p></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-credit field-type-link-field field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><a href="/" target="_blank">Orbon Alija via Getty Images</a></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-desctiprion field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Aerial view of crowd connected by lines</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-cc-attribute-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/" rel="license"><img alt="Creative Commons License." src="/sites/www.cam.ac.uk/files/inner-images/cc-by-nc-sa-4-license.png" style="border-width: 0px; width: 88px; height: 31px;" /></a><br />&#13; The text in this work is licensed under a <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License</a>. Images, including our videos, are Copyright 漏国际米兰对阵科莫 and licensors/contributors as identified. All rights reserved. We make our image and video content available in a number of ways 鈥 on our <a href="/">main website</a> under its <a href="/about-this-site/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>, and on a <a href="/about-this-site/connect-with-us">range of channels including social media</a> that permit your use and sharing of our content under their respective Terms.</p>&#13; </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-show-cc-text field-type-list-boolean field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Yes</div></div></div> Mon, 19 Feb 2024 07:00:00 +0000 sc604 244521 at Swarming cicadas, stock traders, and the wisdom of the crowd /research/news/swarming-cicadas-stock-traders-and-the-wisdom-of-the-crowd <div class="field field-name-field-news-image field-type-image field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><img class="cam-scale-with-grid" src="/sites/default/files/styles/content-580x288/public/news/research/news/gettyimages-128109562-dp.jpg?itok=GUCXZy-7" alt="Adult cicada on a leaf" title="Adult Periodical Cicada, Credit: Ed Reschke via Getty Images" /></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Pick almost any location in the eastern United States 鈥 say, Columbus聽Ohio. Every 13 or 17 years, as the soil warms in springtime, vast swarms of cicadas emerge from their underground burrows singing their deafening song, take flight and mate, producing offspring for the next cycle.</p> <p>This noisy phenomenon repeats all over the eastern and southeastern US as 17 distinct broods emerge in staggered years. In spring 2024, billions of cicadas are expected as two different broods 鈥 one that appears every 13 years and another that appears every 17 years 鈥 emerge simultaneously.</p> <p>Previous research has suggested that cicadas emerge once the soil temperature reaches 18掳C, but even within a small geographical area, differences in sun exposure, foliage cover or humidity can lead to variations in temperature.</p> <p>Now, in a <a href="https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.109.L022401">paper</a> published in the journal <em>Physical Review E</em>, researchers from the 国际米兰对阵科莫 have discovered how such synchronous cicada swarms can emerge despite these temperature differences.</p> <p>The researchers developed a mathematical model for decision-making in an environment with variations in temperature and found that communication between cicada nymphs allows the group to come to a consensus about the local average temperature that then leads to large-scale swarms. The model is closely related to one that has been used to describe 鈥榓valanches鈥 in decision-making like those among stock market traders, leading to crashes.</p> <p>Mathematicians have been captivated by the appearance of 17- and 13-year cycles in various species of cicadas, and have previously developed mathematical models that showed how the appearance of such large prime numbers is a consequence of evolutionary pressures to avoid predation. However, the mechanism by which swarms emerge coherently in a given year has not been understood.</p> <p>In developing their model, the 国际米兰对阵科莫 team was inspired by previous research on decision-making that represents each member of a group by a 鈥榮pin鈥 like that in a magnet, but instead of pointing up or down, the two states represent the decision to 鈥榬emain鈥 or 鈥榚merge鈥.</p> <p>The local temperature experienced by the cicadas is then like a magnetic field that tends to align the spins and varies slowly from place to place on the scale of hundreds of metres, from sunny hilltops to shaded valleys in a forest. Communication between nearby nymphs is represented by an interaction between the spins that leads to local agreement of neighbours.</p> <p>The researchers showed that in the presence of such interactions the swarms are large and space-filling, involving every member of the population in a range of local temperature environments, unlike the case without communication in which every nymph is on its own, responding to every subtle variation in microclimate.</p> <p>The research was carried out Professor Raymond E Goldstein, the Alan Turing Professor of Complex Physical Systems in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics (DAMTP), Professor Robert L Jack of DAMTP and the Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, and Dr Adriana I Pesci, a Senior Research Associate in DAMTP.</p> <p>鈥淎s an applied mathematician, there is nothing more interesting than finding a model capable of explaining the behaviour of living beings, even in the simplest of cases,鈥 said Pesci.</p> <p>The researchers say that while their model does not require any particular means of communication between underground nymphs, acoustical signalling is a likely candidate, given the ear-splitting sounds that the swarms make once they emerge from underground.</p> <p>The researchers hope that their conjecture regarding the role of communication will stimulate field research to test the hypothesis.</p> <p>鈥淚f our conjecture that communication between nymphs plays a role in swarm emergence is confirmed, it would provide a striking example of how Darwinian evolution can act for the benefit of the group, not just the individual,鈥 said Goldstein.</p> <p>This work was supported in part by the Complex Physical Systems Fund.</p> <p><em><strong>Reference:</strong><br /> R E Goldstein, R L Jack, and A I Pesci. 鈥<a href="https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.109.L022401">How Cicadas Emerge Together: Thermophysical Aspects of their Collective Decision-Making</a>.鈥 Physical Review E (2024). DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.109.L022401</em></p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>The springtime emergence of vast swarms of cicadas can be explained by a mathematical model of collective decision-making with similarities to models describing stock market crashes.</p> </p></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-credit field-type-link-field field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><a href="/" target="_blank">Ed Reschke via Getty Images</a></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-desctiprion field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Adult Periodical Cicada</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-cc-attribute-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/" rel="license"><img alt="Creative Commons License." src="/sites/www.cam.ac.uk/files/inner-images/cc-by-nc-sa-4-license.png" style="border-width: 0px; width: 88px; height: 31px;" /></a><br /> The text in this work is licensed under a <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License</a>. Images, including our videos, are Copyright 漏国际米兰对阵科莫 and licensors/contributors as identified. All rights reserved. We make our image and video content available in a number of ways 鈥 on our <a href="/">main website</a> under its <a href="/about-this-site/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>, and on a <a href="/about-this-site/connect-with-us">range of channels including social media</a> that permit your use and sharing of our content under their respective Terms.</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-show-cc-text field-type-list-boolean field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Yes</div></div></div> Thu, 01 Feb 2024 14:36:51 +0000 sc604 244261 at The Vice-Chancellor's Awards 2023 for Research Impact and Engagement /public-engagement/vc-awards/2023 <div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>Meet the winner of the Vice-Chancellor's Awards 2023 for Research Impact and Engagement and learn more about their projects.</p> </p></div></div></div> Wed, 13 Dec 2023 09:20:46 +0000 zs332 243781 at NRICH: nurturing next-generation problem solvers /stories/counting-on-maths-nrich-at-25 <div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>NRICH spent the last two years in聽emergency rescue mode, helping learners in聽lockdown. Its online resources attracted over a million page views per week. Now celebrating their聽25th anniversary, the NRICH team聽is more determined than ever to nurture our next-generation problem solvers.</p> </p></div></div></div> Wed, 30 Mar 2022 06:00:00 +0000 ta385 230941 at Mathematical paradox demonstrates the limits of AI /research/news/mathematical-paradox-demonstrates-the-limits-of-ai <div class="field field-name-field-news-image field-type-image field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><img class="cam-scale-with-grid" src="/sites/default/files/styles/content-580x288/public/news/research/news/datawave.jpg?itok=vOvnoWrF" alt="A glowing particle and binary wave pattern on dark background." title="Binary data wave, Credit: Yuichiro Chino" /></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-body field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p>Like some people, AI systems often have a degree of confidence that far exceeds their actual abilities. And like an overconfident person, many AI systems don鈥檛 know when they鈥檙e making mistakes. Sometimes it鈥檚 even more difficult for an AI system to realise when it鈥檚 making a mistake than to produce a correct result.</p> <p>Researchers from the 国际米兰对阵科莫 and the University of Oslo say that instability is the Achilles鈥 heel of modern AI and that a mathematical paradox shows AI鈥檚 limitations. Neural networks, the state-of-the-art tool in AI, roughly mimic the links between neurons in the brain. The researchers show that there are problems where stable and accurate neural networks exist, yet no algorithm can produce such a network. Only in specific cases can algorithms compute stable and accurate neural networks.</p> <p>The researchers propose a classification theory describing when neural networks can be trained to provide a trustworthy AI system under certain specific conditions. Their <a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2107151119">results</a> are reported in the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</em>.</p> <p>Deep learning, the leading AI technology for pattern recognition, has been the subject of numerous breathless headlines. Examples include diagnosing disease more accurately than physicians or preventing road accidents through autonomous driving. However, many deep learning systems are untrustworthy and <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03013-5">easy to fool</a>.</p> <p>鈥淢any AI systems are unstable, and it鈥檚 becoming a major liability, especially as they are increasingly used in high-risk areas such as disease diagnosis or autonomous vehicles,鈥 said co-author Professor Anders Hansen from 国际米兰对阵科莫鈥檚 Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics. 鈥淚f AI systems are used in areas where they can do real harm if they go wrong, trust in those systems has got to be the top priority.鈥</p> <p>The paradox identified by the researchers traces back to two 20th century mathematical giants: Alan Turing and Kurt G枚del. At the beginning of the 20th century, mathematicians attempted to justify mathematics as the ultimate consistent language of science. However, Turing and G枚del showed a paradox at the heart of mathematics: it is impossible to prove whether certain mathematical statements are true or false, and some computational problems cannot be tackled with algorithms. And, whenever a mathematical system is rich enough to describe the arithmetic we learn at school, it cannot prove its own consistency.</p> <p>Decades later, the mathematician Steve Smale proposed a list of 18 unsolved mathematical problems for the 21st century. The 18th problem concerned the limits of intelligence for both humans and machines.</p> <p>鈥淭he paradox first identified by Turing and G枚del has now been brought forward into the world of AI by Smale and others,鈥 said co-author Dr Matthew Colbrook from the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics. 鈥淭here are fundamental limits inherent in mathematics and, similarly, AI algorithms can鈥檛 exist for certain problems.鈥</p> <p>The researchers say that, because of this paradox, there are cases where good neural networks can exist, yet an inherently trustworthy one cannot be built. 鈥淣o matter how accurate your data is, you can never get the perfect information to build the required neural network,鈥 said co-author Dr Vegard Antun from the University of Oslo.</p> <p>The impossibility of computing the good existing neural network is also true regardless of the amount of training data. No matter how much data an algorithm can access, it will not produce the desired network. 鈥淭his is similar to Turing鈥檚 argument: there are computational problems that cannot be solved regardless of computing power and runtime,鈥 said Hansen.</p> <p>The researchers say that not all AI is inherently flawed, but it鈥檚 only reliable in specific areas, using specific methods. 鈥淭he issue is with areas where you need a guarantee, because many AI systems are a black box,鈥 said Colbrook. 鈥淚t鈥檚 completely fine in some situations for an AI to make mistakes, but it needs to be honest about it. And that鈥檚 not what we鈥檙e seeing for many systems 鈥 there鈥檚 no way of knowing when they鈥檙e more confident or less confident about a decision.鈥</p> <p>鈥淐urrently, AI systems can sometimes have a touch of guesswork to them,鈥 said Hansen.鈥淵ou try something, and if it doesn鈥檛 work, you add more stuff, hoping it works. At some point, you鈥檒l get tired of not getting what you want, and you鈥檒l try a different method. It鈥檚 important to understand the limitations of different approaches. We are at the stage where the practical successes of AI are far ahead of theory and understanding. A program on understanding the foundations of AI computing is needed to bridge this gap.鈥</p> <p>鈥淲hen 20th-century mathematicians identified different paradoxes, they didn鈥檛 stop studying mathematics. They just had to find new paths, because they understood the limitations,鈥 said Colbrook. 鈥淔or AI, it may be a case of changing paths or developing new ones to build systems that can solve problems in a trustworthy and transparent way, while understanding their limitations.鈥</p> <p>The next stage for the researchers is to combine approximation theory, numerical analysis and foundations of computations to determine which neural networks can be computed by algorithms, and which can be made stable and trustworthy. Just as the paradoxes on the limitations of mathematics and computers identified by G枚del and Turing led to rich foundation theories 鈥 describing both the limitations and the possibilities of mathematics and computations 鈥 perhaps a similar foundations theory may blossom in AI.</p> <p>Matthew Colbrook is a Junior Research Fellow at Trinity College, 国际米兰对阵科莫. Anders Hansen is a Fellow at Peterhouse, 国际米兰对阵科莫. The research was supported in part by the Royal Society.</p> <p>聽</p> <p><em><strong>Reference:</strong><br /> Matthew J聽Colbrook, Vegard Antun, and Anders C聽Hansen. 鈥<a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2107151119">The difficulty of computing stable and accurate neural networks 鈥 On the barriers of deep learning and Smale鈥檚 18th problem</a>.鈥 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2022). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2107151119</em></p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-summary field-type-text-with-summary field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><p>Humans are usually pretty good at recognising when they get things wrong, but artificial intelligence systems are not. According to a new study, AI generally suffers from inherent limitations due to a century-old mathematical paradox.</p> </p></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-quote field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">There are fundamental limits inherent in mathematics and, similarly, AI algorithms can鈥檛 exist for certain problems</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-content-quote-name field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Matthew Colbrook</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-credit field-type-link-field field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><a href="/" target="_blank">Yuichiro Chino</a></div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-image-desctiprion field-type-text field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Binary data wave</div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-cc-attribute-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even"><p><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" rel="license"><img alt="Creative Commons License" src="https://i.creativecommons.org/l/by/4.0/88x31.png" style="border-width:0" /></a><br /> The text in this work is licensed under a <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License</a>. Images, including our videos, are Copyright 漏国际米兰对阵科莫 and licensors/contributors as identified.聽 All rights reserved. We make our image and video content available in a number of ways 鈥 as here, on our <a href="/">main website</a> under its <a href="/about-this-site/terms-and-conditions">Terms and conditions</a>, and on a <a href="/about-this-site/connect-with-us">range of channels including social media</a> that permit your use and sharing of our content under their respective Terms.</p> </div></div></div><div class="field field-name-field-show-cc-text field-type-list-boolean field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Yes</div></div></div> Thu, 17 Mar 2022 16:05:06 +0000 sc604 230711 at